Synthesis of Case Studies Investigating the Value of Seasonal Climate Forecasts

The Crown in right of the State of NSW acting through the Department of Primary Industries

  • Project code: PRJ-011499

  • Project stage: Closed

  • Project start date: Thursday, September 20, 2018

  • Project completion date: Thursday, October 31, 2019

  • National Priority: ISF - Improved Seasonal Forecasting

Summary

Conduct a synthesis of the value of Seasonal Climate Forecasting to Australian agriculture realised through the case studies to maximise investment already made by the Managing Climate Variability program. The synthesis of key results and findings across the case studies will provide authoritative analysis of forecast value and the conditions required to realise this value to assist with further investment decisions by industry and government.
Three concise technical reports covering the following areas:
Compile key results across the case studies into a single report focussing on cross-industry findings about the application of SCF in Australian agriculture.
Conduct additional analyses for a single case study to assess the relative value of SCF compared with value of better information on state conditions driven by climate variability (eg. soil moisture, pasture availability).
Using outcomes of output (1) and (2) and reviews of government policy and investment in seasonal forecasting, provide a recommendation in relation to investment to lead to the greatest value to farmers under any unfolding state of nature

Program

Improved Seasonal Forecasting

Research Organisation

The Crown in right of the State of NSW acting through the Department of Primary Industries